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     The   world  market  in  commodities  in  normally a well predictable and stable environment in which most factor are known and logical. One knows that it there is frost in Brazil one can expect coffee prices to swing up for a year and settle down  the next season.  Similarly the edible oil and grain markets are fairly stable and predictable.

     The  sugar  market on the other hand is  a  highly volatile arena is which forunes are made and lost proitics are alleged and government  and  ministers are swept off due  to  unstable  sugar prices. The equation  is : Is this really true  if  so  why an attempt is made here to shed some light on the scene and present a view as to why these cycles are present and what they cause.

     The international sugar market has about 120 million tons of sugar  being produced and consumed every year. Most of the  sugar is  consumed  within  producing  areas  except  for traditional exporters  like Australia, Thailand, and strangely  the  European Community  which  exports around five million tons with a great deal of subsidy to its farmers. In this markets  a  surplus  or shortage of two million tons of production over consumption  will mean a catastrophe. Most of the sugar is either consumed  locally or is on long term committed contracts. The spot market is really thin and hence any minor swing will create a major impact on  the market.